Forest Resilience Lab


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Forests have significant potential to help mitigate human-caused climate change and provide society with a broad range of co-benefits. Local, national, and international efforts have developed policies and incentives to protect and enhance forest carbon sinks. But climate-driven risks may fundamentally compromise forest carbon stocks and sinks in the 21st century.

Understanding and quantifying climate-driven risks to forest stability can help illuminate how forests might help contribute towards the Paris Agreement climate goals. Thus, rigorous scientific assessment of the risks and limitations to widespread deployment of forests as natural climate solutions is urgent. In this paper, we synthesize current scientific understanding of the climate-driven risks to forests and lay out a roadmap for quantifying current and forecasting future risks to forest stability.

Check out our recent work on the climate risks facing forests:
Anderegg Lab Publications

We bring rigorous scientific approaches to tackle five central, interrelated questions:

  • How well can we model forest carbon stocks and drivers of stock changes?
  • What would a probabilistic assessment of forest carbon stocks and risks to stocks through a fusion of large-scale datasets and vegetation model ensembles entail and require?
  • How can we better constrain and validate vegetation model estimates of forest carbon stocks and their drivers with current or forthcoming remote-sensing products?
  • What is the combined climate risk facing various forest biomes and how does this compare to the risk metrics currently used in carbon finance and/or offset markets?
  • What information and platforms are most needed for synthesizing current scientific understanding for forest carbon stakeholders?
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